As authorities struggle with the aftermath of a massive flood which killed over 170 in Russia’s south, conspiracy theories on the deluge’s nature are popping up all over the Internet, provoking heated debates and forcing officials to respond.
The battle to find the missing and identify the dead continues in the Krasnodar Region, as July 8 has been declared a day of mourning for those who perished in the cataclysm.
The flood on July 7 battered more than 5,000 residential houses in Novorossiysk, Gelendzhik and Krymsk, killing over 170 and leaving over 24,000 in the affected area.
Police and volunteers are combing the territory for the bodies of those who drowned in the disaster. The authorities, meanwhile, are making sure that those displaced have food, water, medical assistance and other essential aid.
The region is slowing starting to recover following the unprecedented downpour and subsequent flooding.
The local bus transportation system has begun functioning once again, while the interrupted railway communications have been restored.
In the meantime, Russia’s Investigative Committee has started an investigation into the causes of the tragedy. Its chief Aleksandr Bastrykin has already arrived at the afflicted area, while his deputy Anton Karnauhov was dispatched to Krymsk, the town worst affected by the disaster.
Local authorities have announced they are going to check out absolutely every version of the catastrophe’s cause, regardless of the information’s source. It has been announced that the top-priority task of the investigation is establishing the extent of guilt for those local civil servants tasked with civil defense and disaster management.
A flood of conspiracies
From the very outset of the disaster, the Internet has been abuzz with chatter as to whether the floods in Novorossiysk, Gelendzhik and Krymsk were purely natural or partially man-made.These three cities are divided by small, but still considerable mountain ranges, and thus were affected by the flood waters in different manners. Novorossiysk and Gelendzhik are Black Sea port cities surrounded by mountains from three sides.
The water that poured down their streets and out to sea were caused by unprecedented cloudbursts. Once the precipitation fell to the ground around these two cities, it drained into the sea from the surrounding mountains – eventually flushing through residential quarters, causing havoc and several deaths.
But the situation in the epicenter of the tragedy – the small town of Krymsk – developed in a different manner. The town virtually went under water in a matter of 10-15 minutes, according to local witnesses. The local media even used the words “wave” and “tsunami” to describe the torrent of water that swept through the town.
A tsunami of rumors quickly hit the Russian blogosphere, with many accusing the local authorities of being behind the devastating flood in Krymsk.
Various internet activists lent their support to the conspiratorially minded, claiming the deluge was actually a technological disaster caused by the emergency evacuation of water from the local water storage basin. The bloggers maintain that the local authorities allegedly did it to avoid dam breaches and potential infrastructure damage in the region.
Geography tops conspiracy
Krymsk is situated in a vast valley surrounded by nearly 400 meter ranges. There are two water storage reservoirs in the area, the Varnavinsky reservoir and the Neberdzhaevsky reservoir. Neither suffered damages during the flooding, and their dams remained intact.A contour map of the Krymsk area suggests that the Varnavinsky reservoir is actually located on a lower level than Krymsk. It has an escape channel for emergency discharge which directs any outflowing water away from Krymsk.
The Neberdzhaevsky reservoir, which is 18 kilometers from Krymsk, is filled by various rivers One such river is the Adagum, which flows through Krymsk and disembogues into the reservoir. The dam of this reservoir is also located on the opposite side of Krymsk by this man-made lake. Moreover, the emergency discharge of the reservoir is of a glory-hole spillway design which excludes the discharge of any considerable quantity of water.
The local authorities have reported that there was a discharge of water from the reservoirs, but whether they could have contributed to the flood in any considerable manner is a question that remains to be answered. However, the likelihood these reservoirs were in fact sources for the hundreds of thousands of tons of water that flooded Krymsk remains highly questionable on purely technical grounds.
The basin, located deep in the mountains, may have secured the town from total immersion, it appears. Waters levels in the reservoir jumped from 3 million to 8 million cubic meters overnight, so the storage worked as a “safety bag” for the city, securing it from an even worse flood, the Neberdzhaevsky press service says.
Moreover, “Krymsk was flooded much earlier than the reservoir started draining excessive water,” the press service told RIA Novosti.
On Sunday the Investigative Committee confirmed that it does not consider a water discharge from the Neberdzhaevsky reservoir as the primary cause of the deluge.
“The investigation has found that the discharge of water was carried out in a normal fashion, the reservoir was not overflown… No mass discharge has been registered,” Investigative Committee spokesperson Vladimir Markin said.
“Believe me the dam of the reservoir remains intact. Nothing left the reservoir, that (water) came from the mountains,” stressed the vice-governor of the Kuban region Jambulat Khatuov.
Local authorities insist that the true reason for the flood was the record level of precipitation in the region.
Helicopter inspections reveal dam intact
No damage to the dam was discovered as an Emergency Ministry chief inspected it from a helicopter on Sunday.Later in the day, the region's governor took five local residents and a TV crew on a similar flight to prove to the public that the dam is intact and its design does not allow water drainage.
“Upon returning, the initiative group has confirmed the governor’s words: the dam is undamaged, it is not over-flown and there are no gates there. So water draining was technically impossible,” says the governor’s official web site.
The Adagum River that flows through Krymsk collects waters from several smaller rivers flowing from the surrounding mountains. The rains continued unabated for 24 hours. There was a report about 281 millimeter rainfall in Gelendzhik, 275 millimeter rainfall in Novorossiysk and 221 millimeter rainfall in Krymsk. All these figures exceed a month norm by four or five times.
The difference in the degree of devastation may ultimately lie in their topography. The rain waters that flowed through Gelendzhik and Novorossiysk were collected from a relatively small areas limited by mountain ranges. The valley where Krymsk is located is much bigger. And all the water in this valley that fell from the sky was finally collected into several springs and rivers, all of which converged in the Adagum River that cuts Krymsk in half.
The meteorological data suggests that on every single square kilometer around Krymsk, some 220,000 cubic meters of water fell in just one day. That massive quantity of water flowed into the Adagum River, overflowing its banks and flooding the town of Krymsk completely. The elevation change between the top of the surrounding range and the bottom of the valley near Krymsk is some 350 meters, which explains the high velocity of the millions of tons of water that rushed down to the bottom of the valley and into the Adagum River.
What largely aggravated the tragedy was not only the geographical position of Krymsk, but the fact that the flood came late at night and most people were fast asleep, oblivious to the alarm system.
In the end, whether the town’s residents were properly warned and why so many people were caught off guard in their beds has itself become a matter of criminal investigation.
http://www.rt.com/news/krymsk-flood-deluge-versions-663/
